About whether GPT-3's surprising results mean AGI may be closer than skeptics think.
Has this happened?
Yes 49 (39%)Not sure 39 (31%)No 37 (30%)
Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.
Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?
About whether GPT-3's surprising results mean AGI may be closer than skeptics think.
Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.
People who say AGI is a hundred years away also said GO was 50 years away and they certainly didn’t predict anything even close to what we are seeing now so why is everyone believing them?
Do you why AlphaGo decided to perform move 37 in Game 2 with Lee Sedol? Can AlphaGo explain itself as to why it did that move?
If we don't know why it made that decision, then it is a mysterious black-box hiding it's decisions and taking in an input to produce and output, which is still a problem. This isn't useful to researchers in understanding decisions of these AI systems, especially for AGI. Hence, this problem also applies to GPT-3.
While it is still an advancement in NLP, I'm more interested in getting a super accurate or generative AI system to explain itself than one that cannot.