Goalposts

Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?

2023 JanuaryAnimalMuppet

About an article claiming human-level AI translation by 2030 would mean the singularity.

"May".

Apparently what they really mean is that by 2030, we could have an AI that can translate between languages as well as a human can. That would be impressive, no doubt. But:

1. That's not the same as AGI, despite the article's thinking that it is.

2. AGI itself isn't the same as the singularity. The singularity is where an AI can improve itself, without any further human intervention. More, it's not just improving itself to asymptotically approach some limit; it's improving exponentially or hyperexponentially.

On both counts, while impressive, this isn't the singularity, even if an AI achieves human-level translation in 7 years.

An AI translates between languages as well as a human can.

Has this happened?

Yes 80 (65%)Not sure 21 (17%)No 23 (19%)

Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.