Goalposts

Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?

2023 Maykmac_

About whether large language models show emergent intelligence or just statistics.

I will be convinced when AI will create its first breakthrough PhD paper/discovery. But we have to admit that emergent properties like chain of thoughts are facts and are really impressive. The question is how much model size, context, training pipeline, etc. have to evolve to gain next levels. Two years ago people expected next AI winter, but here we are. There is Copilot and other tooling that is indeed useful.

An AI creates a breakthrough discovery worthy of a PhD paper.

Has this happened?

Yes 79 (77%)Not sure 9 (9%)No 15 (15%)

Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.