About what would count as a meaningful step towards AGI.
Has this happened?
Yes 64 (54%)Not sure 40 (34%)No 14 (12%)
Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.
Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?
About what would count as a meaningful step towards AGI.
Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.
Ok. I’ll rephrase. In caves we were 0% there. Now we’re 0.00001% there :). Maybe. May need a few more zeroes. What we have helps probably, but hard to be sure how much. Maybe we need 1e40 FLOPS for AGI. In that case going from 1FLOP (human in a cave) to 1e14 FLOPS (a GPU now) is irrelevant.
I’ll believe we’re closer when we have a computer solve a novel problem that is not a simple pattern match to a similar solution. When a computer can reply to “write me a JIT translator from ARMv5 to ARMv7M” with working code. That takes actual thought and we’re not even close.