About Musk predicting AI will be smarter than the smartest human by next year.
Has this happened?
Yes 11 (9%)Not sure 27 (22%)No 82 (68%)
Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.
Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?
About Musk predicting AI will be smarter than the smartest human by next year.
Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.
Almost all of the top models are smarter than 99% of the people
Not true. Most humans can learn driving in under a week. How many AI models today can learn driving in under a week, just like a human? None. Until it can, AIs are not smarter than humans.