Goalposts

Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?

2024 JuneWalterBright

About a claim that LLMs will never predict chaotic systems.

One limit of LLMs I'm pretty sure about is they'll never be able to predict chaotic systems, i.e. systems with sensitive dependence on initial conditions. This includes things like the weather and the stock market.

An LLM accurately predicts chaotic systems such as the weather or the stock market.

Has this happened?

Yes 12 (10%)Not sure 37 (32%)No 67 (58%)

Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.