Goalposts

Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?

2024 Octoberccvannorman

About whether generative AI will make computer programming 10x more productive.

Just because this article isn't well formed or sourced doesnt make its claim incorrect.

I program daily and I use AI for it daily.

For short and simple programs AI can do it 100x faster, but it is fundamentally limited by its context size. As a program grows in complexity AI is not currently able to create or modify the codebase with success (around 2000 lines is where I found it has a barrier). I suspect it's due to exponential complexity associated with input size.

Show me an AI that can do this for a 10,000 lines complex program and I'll eat my own shorts

An AI successfully creates or modifies a complex 10,000-line program.

Has this happened?

Yes 84 (77%)Not sure 14 (13%)No 11 (10%)

Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.