Goalposts

Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?

2025 OctoberCuriouslyC

About whether the AI boom is a bubble about to pop like earlier ones.

The final AI push that doesn't lead to a winter will look like a bubble until it hits. We're realistically ~3 years away from fully autonomous software engineering (let's say 99.9% for a concrete target) if we can shift some research and engineering resources towards control, systems and processes. The economic value of that is hard to overstate.

AI does software engineering fully autonomously, succeeding 99.9% of the time.

Has this happened?

Yes 17 (13%)Not sure 22 (17%)No 89 (70%)

Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.