Goalposts

Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?

2025 Decemberfalcor84

About whether AI can cheaply build full software products like CRM or ERP systems.

Ok, well, rereading TFA again, it does seem to say that, but I took it as hyperbole. I'm not familiar with any of even the staunchest GenAI visionaries claiming:

Why buy a CRM solution or a ERM system when “AI” can generate one for you in hours or even minutes?

Obviously that's a strawman argument that shouldn't be taken at face-value. AI-generated software is rapidly improving, but it will take some time until it can do that sort of work without human intervention. Extrapolating from METR's chart[0], we should expect a SotA AI to one-shot a modern commercial CRM in around the early 2030s. It's then up to anyone here to decide if that's something we should actively prepare for already (I personally think we should).

[0] https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-com...

An AI one-shots a modern commercial CRM system without human intervention.

Has this happened?

Yes 25 (24%)Not sure 32 (31%)No 46 (45%)

Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.