About whether AI will upset most of the economy within 20 years.
Has this happened?
Yes 68 (57%)Not sure 24 (20%)No 28 (23%)
Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.
Hacker News has set AI a lot of challenges over the years. Which ones has it met?
About whether AI will upset most of the economy within 20 years.
Votes cast 1–2 October 2026: 100,590 votes from 9,694 people.
There are a lot of assumptions built into your statement that AI will “upset” most of the economy in 20 years. Impact? Sure. But your argument seems to be implying AGI will be achieved (at scale, no less) in 20 years. This is an extraordinary claim even if Altman likes to throw out 5 year timelines for AGI. Similar to how musk (who is also a VC not an engineer or scientist) has been saying self driving teslas were right around the corner for the last ~7 years.
AI today is not even close to replicating the brain’s ability to perform multiple tasks together without suddenly hallucinating a totally different task at multiple points in the project. LLMs are good at regurgitating text, I would hope so after they just memorized all available text data. I can feel the chill of the next AI winter right around the corner, personally.